Hello,
Would anyone be able to recommend time series forecasting methods that I could explore to incorporate monthly historic ENSO values as well as future ENSO forecasts from NOAA?
I use fable to develop SARIMAX models for monthly business data. As far as I know categorical variables cannot be used for SARIMAX models. I will be working on a forecasting project where I know there is a strong relationship between the monthly ENSO cycle (La Nina, El Nino, Neutral) and the dependent forecasting variable.
Thanks!
-Evan