Hello, I want to know the error result like RMSE, etc from ARIMA. i have a 45 months of data about Night-lights. i Have an ARIMA model like this
fitARIMA <- arima(newdata, order=c(0,0,0),seasonal = list(order = c(1,0,0), period = 12))
summary(fitARIMA)
### here is the result
Call:
arima(x = newdata, order = c(0, 0, 0), seasonal = list(order = c(1, 0, 0), period = 12))
Coefficients:
sar1 intercept
0.4770 572.1038
s.e. 0.1608 38.5140
sigma^2 estimated as 26880: log likelihood = -294.88, aic = 593.76
Training set error measures:
ME RMSE MAE MPE MAPE
Training set NaN NaN NaN NaN NaN
Warning message:
In trainingaccuracy(object, test, d, D) :
test elements must be within sample
Anyone know why this is happened, and how to solve this proble? thank you
here is the data i used
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
2015 467.38 441.67 579.30 600.41 793.38 576.80 741.21
2016 516.02 241.41 443.20 502.98 497.31 668.08 596.89
2017 325.89 253.30 737.37 462.75 609.31 559.05 581.16
2018 428.74 584.53 508.92 655.63 867.83 1059.98 509.34
Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2015 634.66 582.00 661.35 249.46 482.33
2016 686.76 598.28 598.23 391.71 492.66
2017 680.36 753.18 476.41 3.12 608.01
2018 820.85 825.13