It seems like `predict`

is producing a standard error that is too large. I get 0.820 with a `parsnip`

model but 0.194 with a base R model. 0.194 for a standard error seems more reasonable since about 2*0.195 above and below my prediction are the ends of the confidence interval. What is my problem/misunderstanding?

```
library(parsnip)
library(dplyr)
#>
#> Attaching package: 'dplyr'
#> The following objects are masked from 'package:stats':
#>
#> filter, lag
#> The following objects are masked from 'package:base':
#>
#> intersect, setdiff, setequal, union
# example data
mod_dat <- mtcars %>%
as_tibble() %>%
mutate(cyl_8 = as.numeric(cyl == 8)) %>%
select(mpg, cyl_8)
parsnip_mod <- logistic_reg() %>%
set_engine("glm") %>%
fit(as.factor(cyl_8) ~ mpg, data = mod_dat)
base_mod <- glm(as.factor(cyl_8) ~ mpg, data = mod_dat, family = "binomial")
parsnip_pred <- tibble(mpg = 18) %>%
bind_cols(predict(parsnip_mod, new_data = ., type = 'prob'),
predict(parsnip_mod, new_data = ., type = 'conf_int', std_error = T)) %>%
select(!ends_with("_0"))
#> New names:
#> * lo -> lo...1
#> * hi -> hi...2
#> * lo -> lo...3
#> * hi -> hi...4
base_pred <- predict(base_mod, tibble(mpg = 18), se.fit = T, type = "response") %>%
unlist()
# these give the same prediction but different SE
parsnip_pred
#> # A tibble: 1 x 5
#> mpg .pred_1 .pred_lower_1 .pred_upper_1 .std_error
#> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl>
#> 1 18 0.614 0.230 0.895 0.820
base_pred
#> fit.1 se.fit.1 residual.scale
#> 0.6140551 0.1942435 1.0000000
```

^{Created on 2020-06-04 by the reprex package (v0.3.0)}